The marketsets the price.You set the odds.
The prediction market journal that measures what the statement can’t: your calibration, your true P&L after fees, and where your edge actually lives.
Read-only sync. Kalshi and Polymarket.Fed holds in December.
A market resolves.
Your read
remains.
Your statement tells you what settled. Oddlot keeps what you believed when you clicked buy.
Fills sync on their own. You add one number, your probability, and a line of thesis if you want. Under thirty seconds a position.
Fed holds in December.
Dot plot and recent speakers lean hold. The market is pricing a cut that the data doesn’t support.
Numbers you
can trust.
Every fill, every fee, every $1 and $0 settlement, recomputed and checked against the platform’s own figures.
When your math and the statement disagree, you see the market, the gap and the likely reason. Your equity curve is built from the reconciled numbers.
Fed holds in December.
See beyond
the last market.
Calibration, category edge and holding time, read together. Find out where your estimates beat the price and where they don’t.
Brier score against the market, reliability by probability band, ROI by category and hold, and quiet flags for revenge trades and size creep after losses.
Fed holds in December.
“Sharp on macro. Crypto above 70% is where I overreach: estimates there run 14 points hot.”
The next market
starts with you.
You bring the probabilities.
Oddlot brings the perspective.
A little more clarity
Oddlot only reads your history: a read-only Kalshi API key or a public Polymarket wallet address, with CSV upload as a fallback. It never places orders, offers no trading advice, and promises no returns.